Modeling the monthly production of banana using the box and Jenkins analysis / (Record no. 2688)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02470nam a22003733a 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field UPMIN-00005905256
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field UPMIN
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20230202141507.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 230202b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency DLC
Transcribing agency UPMin
Modifying agency upmin
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
090 #0 - LOCALLY ASSIGNED LC-TYPE CALL NUMBER (OCLC); LOCAL CALL NUMBER (RLIN)
Classification number (OCLC) (R) ; Classification number, CALL (RLIN) (NR) LG 993.5 2011
Local cutter number (OCLC) ; Book number/undivided call number, CALL (RLIN) A64 M36
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Manching, Imee Celine Robles.
9 (RLIN) 2050
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Modeling the monthly production of banana using the box and Jenkins analysis /
Statement of responsibility, etc. Imee Celine Robles Manching.
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2011
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 53 leaves.
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (BS Applied Mathematics) -- University of the Philippines Mindanao, 2011
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. This study was done to determine the trend of banana of two classes namely, Class A and Class B, using the Box and Jenkins methodology. The monthly production of bananas in boxes was used to analyze the series. The time series data covers the production from January 2005 to December 2010, where the production in the year 2010 was compared to the predicted values for accuracy. The method used ARIMA to model for and forecast the banana production foe each of the two classes. The identified models for Class A and Class B bananas were MA (12) and ARIMA (1,6,2) respectively, and was identified to be well fitted to the series showed by some statistical tests. Anderson-Darling test was used to check the normality of the residuals and Ljung-box test for the independence. However, results showed that the models were unable to give accurate forecasts since both models yield large values for MSE and MAPE, which were used to measure the accuracy of the forecasts. Class A series resulted to MSE with 17,502,3223 while MAPE resulted to 29.03%, Class B, on the other hand, resulted to 235,359.8 for MSE and 26.83% for MAPE. It was concluded that the number of adta points was not able to represent well the production series which led to the large errors in the forecasts.
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element R-project.
9 (RLIN) 2051
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Box-Jenkins time series model.
9 (RLIN) 2052
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Bananas
General subdivision Monthly production.
9 (RLIN) 2053
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element ARIMA models.
9 (RLIN) 2054
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Anderson-Darling test.
9 (RLIN) 2055
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Ljung-box test.
9 (RLIN) 2056
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Forecasting.
9 (RLIN) 2018
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Time series analysis.
9 (RLIN) 2015
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Bananeros Cooperative.
9 (RLIN) 2057
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Autocorrelation.
9 (RLIN) 2058
650 17 - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Differencing.
9 (RLIN) 2059
658 ## - INDEX TERM--CURRICULUM OBJECTIVE
Main curriculum objective Undergraduate Thesis
Curriculum code AMAT200,
Source of term or code BSAM
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN)
a Fi
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN)
a UP
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Library of Congress Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Status Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Accession Number Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Library of Congress Classification   Not For Loan Preservation Copy University Library University Library Archives and Records 2014-03-06 donation UAR-T-gd1963   LG 993.5 2011 A64 M36 3UPML00033548 2022-10-05 2022-10-05 Thesis
    Library of Congress Classification   Not For Loan Room-Use Only College of Science and Mathematics University Library Theses 2011-12-07 donation CSM-T-gd2750   LG 993.5 2011 A64 M36 3UPML00012783 2022-10-05 2022-10-05 Thesis
 
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