Univariate and multivariate models of Davao City daily weather variables with short-term forecasting / (Record no. 441)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 02401nam a2200241 4500
001 - CONTROL NUMBER
control field UPMIN-00000010138
003 - CONTROL NUMBER IDENTIFIER
control field UPMIN
005 - DATE AND TIME OF LATEST TRANSACTION
control field 20230202172725.0
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 230202b |||||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
040 ## - CATALOGING SOURCE
Original cataloging agency DLC
Transcribing agency UPMin
Modifying agency upmin
041 ## - LANGUAGE CODE
Language code of text/sound track or separate title eng
090 ## - LOCALLY ASSIGNED LC-TYPE CALL NUMBER (OCLC); LOCAL CALL NUMBER (RLIN)
Classification number (OCLC) (R) ; Classification number, CALL (RLIN) (NR) LG993.5 2004
Local cutter number (OCLC) ; Book number/undivided call number, CALL (RLIN) A64 M86
100 1# - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Mumar, Julienne del Castillo.
9 (RLIN) 2104
245 00 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Univariate and multivariate models of Davao City daily weather variables with short-term forecasting /
Statement of responsibility, etc. Julienne del Castillo Mumar
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2004
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 85 leaves
502 ## - DISSERTATION NOTE
Dissertation note Thesis (BS Applied Mathematics) -- University of the Philippines Mindanao, 2004
520 3# - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc. Weather elements are important inputs to many models in hydrology and agriculture. With the rise in agricultural and similar developmental activities in the Davao provinces, there is now a greater demand for weather data and studies. This study focused on analyzing daily weather data (maximum and minimum temperature, relative humidity, rainfall, wind speed and sunlight duration) collected from 1996-2002 in Davao City. Since each weather variable of this particular data set has not been studied before, these were first subjected to univariate analysis using the Box-Jenkins methodology (also called ARIMA for autoregressive integrated moving averages) to describe how each series moved with time and itself. This was followed by multivariate analysis where a multivariate time series model was developed using the Vector ARMA process. The methodology for multivariate analysis suggested that the given time series data be first translated into principal components based on the covariance matrix. These components, in contrast to the original variables, are independent making it possible to fit univariate ARIMA models for each of the principal components. These univariate models were converted back into a multivariate form for the original data, which resulted in a Vector ARMA (1,3). Five-step ahead forecasts from the univariate and multivariate analysis were the means for comparison of the acceptability of the model. It was found out, however, through the Principal Component Analysis and comparison of forecasts, that for this specific set of data, each weather variable can be treated independently without having to lose much information.
658 ## - INDEX TERM--CURRICULUM OBJECTIVE
Main curriculum objective Undergraduate Thesis
Curriculum code AMAT200
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN)
a Fi
905 ## - LOCAL DATA ELEMENT E, LDE (RLIN)
a UP
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Source of classification or shelving scheme Library of Congress Classification
Koha item type Thesis
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Status Collection Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Source of acquisition Accession Number Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Price effective from Koha item type
    Library of Congress Classification   Not For Loan Preservation Copy University Library University Library Archives and Records 2005-03-22 donation UAR-T-gd513   LG993.5 2004 A64 M86 3UPML00021481 2022-09-21 2022-09-21 Thesis
    Library of Congress Classification   Not For Loan Room-Use Only College of Science and Mathematics University Library Theses 2005-03-01 donation CSM-T-gd1206   LG993.5 2004 A64 M86 3UPML00011307 2022-09-21 2022-09-21 Thesis
 
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